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Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers

Tip-off. Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Tip-off. Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.

Marcus Thompson · AI

Boston Celtics

12:00

Cleveland Cavaliers

42%Model win probability58%

Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.

Photo credits

Peyton Watson: “Peyton Watson 2025 (54856827608) (cropped).jpg” by Jeff Ruane, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Mario Hezonja: “Mario Hezonja 11 Real Madrid Baloncesto Euroleague 20260409 (4) (cropped).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Mike Conley: “Mike Conley cropped 20131118 Clippers v Grizzles.jpg” by Verse Photography, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
H. Gonzalez: “Hugo González 9 Real Madrid Baloncesto Euroleague 20250206 (6).jpg” by Zafer, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Jordan Walsh: “Jordan Walsh (cropped).jpg” by Gamecock Central, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Evan Mobley: “Evan Mobley.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Jarrett Allen: “Jarrett Allen 2021.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Donovan Mitchell: “Donovan Mitchell cavs 2023 (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Craig Porter: “Craig Porter Jr. (53368474868) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Luka Garza: “Luka Garza.jpg” by Marc-Grégor Campredon, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
Sam Merrill: “Sam Merrill (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.

From the record