Tip-off. Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Thunder0
Q1
12:00
Spurs0
47%Model win probability53%
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- J. McCain: “Jared McCain Duke v. Michigan State.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Chet Holmgren: “Chet Holmgren.jpg” by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: “2023-08-09 Deutschland gegen Kanada (Basketball-Länderspiel) by Sandro Halank–108.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Julian Champagnie: “Julian Champagnie San Antonio Spurs 2024.jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Harrison Barnes: “Harrison Barnes in 2019 (cropped).jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Victor Wembanyama: “Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs 2024.jpg” by Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- De'Aaron Fox: “DeAaron Fox DBZ 2.jpg” by Bandai Namco Entertainment America, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Stephon Castle: “Stephon Castle.jpg” by The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Devin Vassell: “Devin Vassell.jpg” by SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Luke Kornet: “Luke Kornet San Antonio Spurs 2025 NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Keldon Johnson: “Keldon Johnson.png” by FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Cason Wallace: “Cason Wallace - MBB v. Vanderbilt - March 01, 2023 by Brady Saylor - 0099.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Isaiah Hartenstein: “Isaiah Hartenstein (cropped).png” by Jerimaiai1000, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alex Caruso: “Alex Caruso (52480104636) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jalen Williams: “Jalen Williams OKCThunder 2025 NBA Cup (cropped) (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mitchell: “Ajay Mitchell OKCThunder 2025 at the NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mara: “Aday Mara (Michigan Wolverines men's basketball player) during February 11, 2026 game against the Northwestern Wildcats at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois (05).jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- J. Gillespie: “Ja'Kobi Gillespie.jpg” by MGoBlog, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
From the record
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.