Tip-off. Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Denver Nuggets0
Q1
12:00
Thunder0
42%Model win probability59%
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Jamal Murray: “Jamal Murray free throw (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- J. McCain: “Jared McCain Duke v. Michigan State.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Chet Holmgren: “Chet Holmgren.jpg” by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: “2023-08-09 Deutschland gegen Kanada (Basketball-Länderspiel) by Sandro Halank–108.jpg” by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- DeMar DeRozan: “DeMar DeRozan 2022.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tyus Jones: “Tyus Jones 2021 (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Cason Wallace: “Cason Wallace - MBB v. Vanderbilt - March 01, 2023 by Brady Saylor - 0099.jpg” by Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Nikola Jokic: “Nikola Jokic free throw (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- D. Holmes: “DaRon Holmes (cropped).jpg” by SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Marvin Bagley: “Marvin Bagley III (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Isaiah Hartenstein: “Isaiah Hartenstein (cropped).png” by Jerimaiai1000, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alpha Diallo: “Alpha Diallo.jpg” by Ken Jancef, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Alex Caruso: “Alex Caruso (52480104636) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Christian Braun: “Christian Braun 2023 parade (cropped).jpg” by Pbritti, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Cameron Johnson: “CamJohnsonCC (cropped).png” by YES Network, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jalen Williams: “Jalen Williams OKCThunder 2025 NBA Cup (cropped) (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Aaron Gordon: “Aaron Gordon 2019 (cropped).jpg” by Reggie Hildred, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mitchell: “Ajay Mitchell OKCThunder 2025 at the NBA Cup (cropped).jpg” by Daiei Onoguchi, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- A. Mara: “Aday Mara (Michigan Wolverines men's basketball player) during February 11, 2026 game against the Northwestern Wildcats at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois (05).jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- T. Brazile: “Trevon Brazile.jpg” by Gamecock Central, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
From the record
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.