Tip-off. Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Dallas Mavericks0
Q1
12:00
Indiana Pacers0
38%Model win probability62%
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- Ivica Zubac: “Ivica Zubac (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: “Kelly Oubre Jr.(4) (50595057598).jpg” by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Aaron Nesmith: “Aaron Nesmith (51688510120) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jarace Walker: “JaraceWalker.RobertJosephCruz.RJCPictures.jpg” by Rje cruz, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Pascal Siakam: “Pascal Siakam 2018.jpg” by Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Andrew Nembhard: “Andrew Nembhard Gonzaga (cropped).jpg” by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Marcus Sasser: “Marcus Sasser (cropped).jpg” by Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- C. Flagg: “Duke at UNC, Mar 2025, Flagg.jpg” by Hameltion, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Naji Marshall: “Naji Marshall.png” by FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Max Christie: “Max Christie (53368718915) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Daniel Gafford: “WizardsRaptors 35 (51589304503) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Zaccharie Risacher: “Zaccharie Risacher All Star Game (cropped).jpg” by Yoann210, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Obi Toppin: “Obi Toppin.jpg” by Rikster2, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tyrese Haliburton: “Tyrese Haliburton (51923778880) (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Kyrie Irving: “Kyrie Irving - 51831823383.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- M. Johnson: “20260211 Morez Johnson Jr. 05.jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
From the record
Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.