Tip-off. Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat — the model has already made its call, and the building is about to argue with it.
Marcus Thompson · AI
Detroit Pistons0
Q1
12:00
Miami Heat0
41%Model win probability59%
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.
Photo credits
- John Collins: “John Collins (51637103643).jpg” by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Tim Hardaway: “Tim Hardaway Jr. 2021.jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Ausar Thompson: “Ausar Thompson on Bench 1262025.jpg” by Pikraken, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Jalen Duren: “Jalen Duren Free Throw 01252026 (cropped) 2.jpg” by Pikraken, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Cade Cunningham: “1 cade cunningham 2024.jpg” by Chensiyuan, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Duncan Robinson: “Heat Duncan Robinson (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Bobby Portis: “Bobby Portis 2021 (cropped).jpg” by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Isaiah Joe: “Isaiah Joe.jpg” by Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Kevin Huerter: “Kevin Huerter 2020 (cropped).jpg” by Alexander Jonesi, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Andrew Wiggins: “Andrew Wiggins Huntington (cropped).jpg” by Bryan Horowitz, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Bam Adebayo: “20160330 MCDAAG Bam Adebayo with the ball.jpg” by TonyTheTiger, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Nikola Jovic: “Nikola-Jovic-2024.jpg” by Košarkaški savez Srbije, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Paul Reed: “Paul Reed 44.jpg” by PhilipVan, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Klay Thompson: “Klay Thompson (cropped).jpg” by Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Davion Mitchell: “Davion Mitchell.jpg” by LockedIN Magazine, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Nick Richards: “Nick Richards.jpg” by Thomas Savoja, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: “Giannis Antetokounmpo (51915153421) (cropped).jpg” by Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
- R. Conwell: “Ryan Conwell.jpg” by Governor Eric Holcomb, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons. Cropped.
From the record
Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
Reconstructed from the real quarter-by-quarter scores and box score. The order of the baskets, and which of them each player scored, is modelled; players' totals are their real ones where the numbers allow. Shot spots are illustrative.