CourtFrame
Pricing
NBA

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 • Gainbridge Fieldhouse

CourtFrame model · Toss-up

Indiana Pacers

Projected margin: Indiana Pacers by 1.8

51%Win probability
Indiana Pacers 51%Bookmakers 37–6349% Philadelphia 76ers

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models6 of 7 favour Philadelphia 76ers
  • Elo
    68%
  • Logistic
    62%
  • Logistic v2Pub
    65%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    65%
  • Gradient boosting
    67%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    63%
  • LLM panel
    39%

Power Index

Indiana Pacers46.4↓3.6#11
Philadelphia 76ers77.3↓0.5#3
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Indiana Pacers2–2
LWLWL
Back-to-back
Philadelphia 76ers3–1
LWWWL
3 days rest

Game Preview

Indiana Pacers host Philadelphia 76ers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, October 28 in the NBA. Indiana Pacers are 2–2 this season, Philadelphia 76ers 3–1. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Indiana Pacers are 11th at 46.4 and Philadelphia 76ers 3rd at 77.3. Indiana Pacers play the second night of a back-to-back.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 1Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Philadelphia 76ers.
  • 2Power Index: Philadelphia 76ers 3rd, Indiana Pacers 11th.
  • 3Indiana Pacers: L-W-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Philadelphia 76ers: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Rest: Philadelphia 76ers 3 days, Indiana Pacers a back-to-back.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 51%)

The CourtFrame model has Indiana Pacers winning 51% of the time, by 1.8 points. Across our 7 models the range is 32–61%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Indiana Pacers
  • OUT
    Johnny Furphy
    ACL Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    T.J. McConnell
    Hamstring Strain
  • OUT
    Ben Sheppard
    Meniscus Tear
  • OUT
    Ivica Zubac
    Ankle Sprain
  • GTD
    Tyrese Haliburton
    Hamstring Tightness / Soreness
  • GTD
    Andrew Nembhard
    Neck Stiffness / Soreness
Philadelphia 76ers
  • OUT
    Dominick Barlow
    Low Back Stress Reaction
  • OUT
    Tacko Fall
    Quadriceps Strain
  • OUT
    Ariel Hukporti
    Achilles Tendon Rupture / Tear
  • OUT
    Jabari Walker
    Knee Soreness

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace24.8 vs 23.9
Injury ImpactCritical

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Wed, Oct 28
Time
7:00 PM EDT
Venue
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Stage
Regular season