CourtFrame
Pricing
NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 • Target Center

Our pick · Lean

Minnesota Timberwolves

Projected margin: Minnesota Timberwolves by 6.2

63%Win probability
Minnesota Timberwolves 63%Bookmakers 60–4037% Golden State Warriors

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

Pro Insight

Where the value is on this game

Pro compares our model with every bookmaker's price and flags the bets where the gap is big enough to matter — with the edge, expected value, stake size and a grade.

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7 Models7 of 7 favour Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Elo
    74%
  • Logistic
    70%
  • Logistic v2
    78%
  • Logistic v2 + players
    71%
  • Gradient boosting
    76%
  • Gradient boosting + players
    77%
  • LLM panelPub
    63%

Power Index

Minnesota Timberwolves46.9↓3.8#10
Golden State Warriors31.7↑5.1#19
Net ratingWin %Schedule-adj.OffenseDefenseHealthMomentumClutch

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

Minnesota Timberwolves3–1
LWWWL
3 days rest
Golden State Warriors1–3
LLLLW
2 days rest

Game Preview

Minnesota Timberwolves host Golden State Warriors at Target Center on Wednesday, October 28 in the NBA. Minnesota Timberwolves are 3–1 this season, Golden State Warriors 1–3. In the CourtFrame Power Index, Minnesota Timberwolves are 10th at 46.9 and Golden State Warriors 19th at 31.7.

Key Factors to Watch

  • 17 of 7 CourtFrame models make Minnesota Timberwolves the favourite.
  • 2Power Index: Minnesota Timberwolves 10th, Golden State Warriors 19th.
  • 3Minnesota Timberwolves: L-W-W-W-L in the last 5 league games.
  • 4Golden State Warriors: L-L-L-L-W in the last 5 league games.
  • 5Rest: Minnesota Timberwolves 3 days, Golden State Warriors 2 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 63%)

Our pick has Minnesota Timberwolves winning 63% of the time, by 6.2 points. Across our 7 models the range is 63–78%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • OUT
    Donte DiVincenzo
    Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    Donte DiVincenzo
    Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    Anthony Edwards
    Knee Injury Management
  • GTD
    Anthony Edwards
    Knee Injury Management
Golden State Warriors
  • OUT
    Jimmy Butler III
    ACL Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    Moses Moody
    Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    Kristaps Porzingis
    Not With Team
  • OUT
    Jimmy Butler III
    ACL Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    Moses Moody
    Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
  • OUT
    Kristaps Porzingis
    Not With Team
  • GTD
    Gui Santos
    Knee Tendinitis
  • GTD
    Yaxel Lendeborg
    Foot Inflammation / Soreness

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Matchup Insights

Pace
Similar Pace28.8 vs 26.9
Injury ImpactCritical
Schedule EdgeEven

Game Info

League
NBA
Date
Wed, Oct 28
Time
8:00 PM EDT
Venue
Target Center
Stage
Regular season