New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

Prediction & preview · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 • Smoothie King Center

Denver Nuggets

Away

See how the model expects this to go

Prediction

How it works · Track record

Our pick · Toss-up

New Orleans Pelicans

Projected margin: New Orleans Pelicans by 0.6

52%Win probability

New Orleans Pelicans 52%Bookmakers 37–6348% Denver Nuggets

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice.

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7 Models6 of 7 favour Denver Nuggets

Elo
65%
Logistic
63%
Logistic v2
58%
Logistic v2 + players
59%
Gradient boosting
59%
Gradient boosting + players
60%
LLM panelPub
48%

Power Index

New Orleans Pelicans18.1↓5.9#24

Denver Nuggets32.7↓12.6#18

Components scaled within the league this season. Rankings

Form · Last 5 · incl. last season

New Orleans Pelicans0–3

LLLLL

4 days rest

Denver Nuggets1–2

WLLWL

2 days rest

Game Preview

New Orleans Pelicans host Denver Nuggets at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, October 28 in the NBA. New Orleans Pelicans are 0–3 this season, Denver Nuggets 1–2. New Orleans Pelicans have lost their last 5 league games. In the CourtFrame Power Index, New Orleans Pelicans are 24th at 18.1 and Denver Nuggets 18th at 32.7.

Key Factors to Watch

1Our models split from the pick: 6 of 7 favour Denver Nuggets.
2Power Index: Denver Nuggets 18th, New Orleans Pelicans 24th.
3New Orleans Pelicans: L-L-L-L-L in the last 5 league games.
4Denver Nuggets: W-L-L-W-L in the last 5 league games.
5Rest: New Orleans Pelicans 4 days, Denver Nuggets 2 days.

Model Outlook(Win probability: 52%)

Our pick has New Orleans Pelicans winning 52% of the time, by 0.6 points. Across our 7 models the range is 35–52%.

Probabilities, not guarantees. Not betting advice. How the model works

Injury Report

New Orleans Pelicans

OUT
Yves Missi
Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise

Denver Nuggets

OUT
Spencer Jones
Bilateral Hamstring Injury Management
OUT
Julian Strawther
Knee Sprain
OUT
Alpha Diallo
Personal Reasons
OUT
Spencer Jones
Bilateral Hamstring Injury Management
OUT
Julian Strawther
Knee Sprain
DOUBTFUL
Alpha Diallo
Wrist Sprain/Personal Reasons
DOUBTFUL
Cameron Johnson
Ankle Sprain
DOUBTFUL
Cameron Johnson
Ankle Sprain

Updated daily. Data from official injury reports.

Game Info

League: NBA
Date: Wed, Oct 28
Time: 8:00 PM EDT
Venue: Smoothie King Center
Stage: Regular season

Team Pages

New Orleans Pelicans

Denver Nuggets